Our aboriginal accurate anarchy accident of the division hit aftermost weekend with Purdue’s agitated over No. 2 Ohio State.
It wasn’t aloof that Purdue won the game. Attending no added than Clemson’s accident to Syracuse aftermost year or to Pitt the year afore to prove that a accident to an unranked aggregation won’t disqualify the Buckeyes from playoff consideration. But the way Ohio State absent by accepting bedeviled in every angle of the d to the tune of a 29-point beating has us absolutely recalibrating our post-season expectations.
With that abrupt aftereffect in mind, actuality are the articulation credibility for anarchy to accumulate an eye out for the blow of the division for the top bristles playoff contenders.
Losing on the alley to a No. 4 aggregation in the country isn’t about chaos-inducing, it’s aloof football. But this Alabama aggregation is abstinent on a altered calibration than the blow of the country. The absoluteness is that unless Alabama loses to LSU, it would booty an absolute collapse for the Tide to absence the playoff. Mississippi State on the alley doesn’t attending like it has the breach to argue with Alabama. Auburn doesn’t attending like a blackmail either, but if we acquiesce the abeyance atheism because of the animosity element, again alike a accident in the Iron Bowl still wouldn’t accumulate a one-loss Tide out of the SEC Championship Game. And a win in Atlanta, alike with a accident to Auburn, would still acceptable be a admission to the playoff.
So that brings us aback to LSU, area a win by the Tigers could beating Alabama out of the SEC Championship Bold and would abode the best ascendant aggregation in the country in the position of defective a lot of advice to alike accept an altercation for a playoff bid.
Now that Clemson has put calm two assertive performances, we’ve assuredly got a top adversary for Alabama. But it would be actual on cast for academy football to accord us an agitated in Chestnut Hill appropriate as we achieve in on a blow advance for a civic championship. Accustomed Boston College’s adeptness to adapt styles offensively while hitting big plays in the canyon d as able-bodied as authoritative time of ascendancy with the run game, Steve Addazio’s band is acutely Clemson’s bigger actual ysis on breach for the Tigers. It has several NFL players on the arresting ancillary of the brawl as well. If Clemson loses to Boston College, it still has a bright aisle to an ACC appellation but it would be at the benevolence of the board with accessible one-loss champs in the Big 12 and Big Ten in accession to Notre Dame’s abiding best record.
Speaking of Notre Dame, it has bristles amateur larboard on the agenda that it should win. It additionally has bristles amateur larboard on its agenda that it could lose. I don’t see the Irish falling to Navy with a bye anniversary to prepare. I don’t see Florida State’s abhorrent band accomplishing abundant to apathetic bottomward that Irish avant-garde seven. Syracuse doesn’t accept the horses and USC is aloof not boxy abundant physically or mentally for this Notre Dame team. The aggregation that is best acceptable to derail the Irish playoff affairs is the aforementioned aggregation that about absent to Rutgers aftermost weekend: Northwestern.
This is aloof who Northwestern is. It is acceptable abundant and acclimatized abundant to be annoying for anybody, but doesn’t accept the athletes to run bottom teams out of the building. This aggregation can’t run the ball, so it won’t alike try to adjoin Notre Dame. It has a aegis that can accomplish Notre Dame drive the football and an breach that can comedy ascendancy with a quarterback. A accident actuality would be boxy to attending accomplished on a playoff resume.
LSU is the anarchy you fear. Sitting at 7-1, addition accident acceptable knocks the Tigers out of the playoff and best accept penciled in addition accident as a antagonism with Alabama looms. But should the Tigers allocate anarchy on the academy football apple with an agitated over the Tide, it would booty ascendancy of its own playoff destiny.
As Michigan continues its methodical advance of aition through its schedule, a accepted acumen is demography authority that the Wolverines are now the best aggregation in the Big Ten and a acceptable champ adjoin Ohio State. I accede with the aboriginal contention. It feels absurd that Michigan sustains addition accident afore the division afterpiece adjoin the Buckeyes. Both on cardboard and through the eye test, the Wolverines attending like a bigger aggregation than Ohio State. I’m aloof not abiding the antagonism favors the Wolverines in the aforementioned way that alike Purdue’s antagonism did. Ohio State is accessible in the canyon d and Michigan has yet to prove it’s alarming in that realm, and the Buckeyes will be acutely motivated at home.
What’s catchy about Michigan’s agenda is that while it controls its own destiny, a blunder in Columbus not alone eliminates its playoff affairs but it’s additionally the one affair that could breathe activity aback into the playoff hopes of its battling at Ohio State.
In retrospect, Ohio State’s flaws that were apparent by Purdue were acutely evident. There were aloof a lot of bodies that were accommodating to discount them. Those flaws were Ohio State’s bendable comedy in the additional and third levels of the defense, and accurately the disability to absolute atomic plays on aegis (only Kent State and UConn accept accustomed up added plays of 30 yards or more). In that spirit, I capital to see if I could yze some baleful flaws afore addition playoff adversary gets abrupt unexpectedly. Actuality are three to accumulate an eye on.
1. LSU ranks 98th in the country in yards per comedy on offense. You can explain it abroad with a nod to a boxy schedule. You can point to the job LSU has done demography affliction of the football and attention its defense. But you can’t avoid an ambitious playoff aggregation actuality 98th in the country in yards per play. You can’t avoid an breach actuality ranked 124th in the country in scoring touchdowns in the red zone. A quarterback commutual 53 percent of his passes with six touchdowns does accept a shelf life. If LSU wants to exhausted Alabama and become a playoff team, now’s the time to burn that offense.
2. Texas ranks 87th in the country in yards per comedy on offense. The Longhorns were the appropriate antagonism for Oklahoma. They’re concrete and can comedy with ability on offense. They can bullwork out yardage with the active backs and the quarterback. They can move the chains with big avant-garde receivers. But the explosiveness is not there. Texas is 95th in the country in plays of 20 or added yards and 115th in plays of 40 or added yards. Texas’ abhorrent is currently in the class of ‘good enough’. But that ‘good enough’ characterization alone covers the Big 12. If Texas wants to argue in the playoff, added change is necessary.
3. Georgia’s arresting band is not what we’re acclimated to. All of the avant-garde ytics point to Georgia actuality forgettable up front. So does the play. Georgia is an calm 40th in the country in blitz yards accustomed per game. It’s a stout 15th in the country in third bottomward conversions allowed. Its 19th in the country in red area touchdown percentage. But the Bulldogs aloof aren’t creating abundant disruption. Georgia is 116th in the country in sacks per d and 119th in tackles for accident per game. Alike the about-face cardinal is bottomward as Georgia is 85th in the country in takeaways. Georgia could abide to appear aback bottomward to apple if it can’t accomplish added disruption on aegis soon.
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