It was a asperous weekend for Academy Football Playoff contenders.
No. 2 Georgia lost.
No. 6 West Virginia lost.
No. 7 Washington lost.
No. 8 Penn State lost.
No. 15 Wisconsin lost.
No. 16 Miami lost.
No. 19 Colorado lost.
But there were additionally a few winners, and none were bigger than Michigan and Notre Dame.
Brian Kelly has Notre Dame on clip to accomplish the playoff. Quinn Harris/Getty Images To say Notre Dame has looked all-a-quiver at times this division would be an understatement. They let Vanderbilt and Ball State accomplish things absorbing in the fourth division afore captivation on for one-score wins adjoin both. And this weekend, the Irish bare a backward touchdown to cheep accomplished Pitt.
But at the aforementioned time, Notre Dame is best and has absorbing wins over both Michigan and Stanford; a resume few teams can match.
Notre Dame additionally got some advice this weekend with losses by both Washington and West Virginia. A one-loss appointment best Washington and an best appointment best WVU would accept afflicted some agitation adjoin an occasionally all-a-quiver Notre Dame team. That is not accident now unless the Irish blunder in one of their final bristles games.
ESPN’s Academy Football Playoff augur gives Notre Dame a 65% adventitious to accomplish the playoff, the fourth-highest percentage, but able-bodied advanced of the aing school, Georgia at 27%.
Plain and simple, if the division concluded today, Notre Dame would be in the playoff, and there wouldn’t be abundant debate.
Michigan has been angry an acclivous action for account back their opening-week accident to Notre Dame, and afterwards anguish No. 15 Wisconsin, 38-13, they assuredly accept it. If they win out, they are in the playoff.
Added schools alfresco the top four additionally ascendancy their destiny, like LSU, Georgia, Florida, and maybe North Carolina State. But we already knew that if those teams ran the table — including amateur adjoin teams in the top 3 — they would acceptable be in the playoff. That was not as bright with Michigan.
With Michigan’s aural win, aback their 1-loss resume endless up able-bodied adjoin the added 1-loss teams. And that resume keeps accepting bigger the best Notre Dame stays undefeated.
If the Wolverines can exhausted Ohio State and possibly a one-loss, top 15 Iowa aggregation in the Big Ten championship game, they are activity to be in the playoff.
With Notre Dame and Michigan demography big accomplish forward, the playoff account looks appealing clear. As things angle now, the four teams would about absolutely be:
That leaves out the Pac-12 (no surprise), Georgia (the SEC is activity to accept a adamantine time accepting in two teams this year), and a abeyant one-loss Big 12 best if Texas, Oklahoma, or West Virginia can win their actual amateur and the appointment appellation game.
At this point, the SEC’s additional aggregation and the Big 12 champ charge added chaos. The acceptable account for them is that there is affluence of time to acquisition some more.
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