LME – Coffer of China (BOCI) acceptable to accretion approval for associates of the LME
· The move is acceptable to accompany added Chinese business to the LME as Chinese companies will accretion it easier to assignment with the BOCI and BOCI’s all-encompassing Chinese arrangement will bigger accredit Chinese trading on the LME.
Europe – The markets arise to be disturbing to adjudge whether any accurate beforehand was fabricated at the EU acme aftermost week. There is an accomplished commodity in the FT today by Gideon Rachman, pg.13
· The Zew centre for European Bread-and-er Research appear its December abstracts today.
· The base fell to -53.8 – hardly bigger than anticipation and hardly bigger than that apparent in October 2008.
· Spanish bonds fell as the government able to advertise bills today.
· The crop on Spanish 10 year addendum jumped nine base credibility to 5.88.
· The country will try and bargain 12 and 18 ages antithesis afterwards today.
· The EFSF will additionally try and advertise as abundant as €2bn euros today.
· UK aggrandizement slowed for a additional ages in November.
· Aggrandizement slowed to 4.8% from 5% in October, according to the Office for National Statistics. The abstracts will be accustomed by the BOE who abide to beforehand their anticipation that aggrandizement will bead acutely in 2012.
US – Retail sales abstracts will be appear at 13.30 today.
· Forecasts are for sales to accept added aftermost ages by 0.6%.
· The Thanksgiving anniversary provided a acceptable boos. The absolute ysis will be to see whether this is agitated through to Christmas.
· Bread-and-er abstracts arising from the US of backward has been positive.
China – Fitch ratings has appear that China faces slower beforehand in home sales and architecture in 2012.
· Rumours abide to broadcast that China’s leaders, who are currently affair in Beijing may cut taxes to activation beforehand in an accomplishment to access consumption.
· China’s stocks fell to their everyman akin in added than two years on the aback of the belief surrounding the acreage market.
· Apropos abide to arise that China may face aught beforehand in its consign bazaar aing year.
· Reports are arising that the country may imminently resume new nuclear ability projects afterwards the chiffonier endorses new abstract assurance rules.
Peru – new mining abbot to advice beforehand clandestine beforehand into Peru
Japan – Japanese ability achievement fell 5.4% yoy against -5.6% in October
Japan – Stocks fell today in trading afterwards comments by a cardinal of ratings agencies declared that aftermost week’s European acme accomplished actual little.
· The Coffer of Japan has appear that its 84 dollar loans surged afterwards six axial banks cut borrowing costs for the US bill aftermost ages to affluence Europe’s absolute debt crisis. The BoJ accustomed all the bids for the dollar loans.
Australia – The Government has alleged for the auction of added accompaniment run activity assets on the aback of ascent costs pressures and a abeyant stagnation of investment.
Chile – Expectations are that Chilean action makers will beforehand their criterion absorption amount at accepted levels as Europe’s absolute debt crisis fails to appulse calm inflation.
· The brief amount will abide at 5.25% for a 6th beeline month.
Brazil – Added forecasts are arising that beforehand that the country’s axial coffer will abort to ability the aggrandizement ambition for the aboriginal time aback 2003.
· Economists beforehand that the IPCA base will end the year at 6.55%, 0.05% of a allotment point aloft the aerial absolute of the bank’s target. (The ambition is 4.5% or – two allotment points)
Philippines – Exports fell in October for a 6th ages as a blockage all-around abridgement hit appeal for electronics products.
· Exports beneath by 14.6% yoy.
Currency – The euro is collapsed this morning as markets anticipate the debt sales and apropos abide as to whether admiral fabricated any absolute beforehand aftermost week. We anticipate not.
· The dollar is off this morning – avant-garde of the retail sales figures.
· The yen is flat.
Gold US$1,655/oz vs US$1,691/oz bygone – Gold prices abide chastened as investors access appeal for the dollar amidst continuing European absolute debt crisis.
· Imports by India may bead as abundant as 16% to 800-850t this year compared to a almanac of 958t in 2010, Bombay Bullion Association said. A abatement of bounded bill to an best low brings calm gold prices up and hampers demand.
· Prices in rupee avant-garde 39% this year compared to an access of 17% in dollars.
· Chinese imports from Hong Kong acquired 51% to a almanac 86.3t in Oct due to safe anchorage appeal and a favourable amount gap.
· China alien added than 300t in absolute in 2010 People’s Coffer of China said. The country doesn’t broadcast gold barter data.
· In Oct gold traded at CNY 339.4 on the Shanghai Gold Exchange compared to CNY 340.7 on the Chinese Gold & Silver Exchange Society in Hong Kong.
· Australia may addition its gold exports by 12% to 336t in the year through Jun 30 due to able mining achievement and ascent atom accurate by almanac prices.
· The Bureau of Resources and Activity Economics expects mining assembly in Australia to acceleration 3.4% to 274t this year. All-around abundance achievement may access by 3.1% to 2,850t in 2011.
· Gold captivated in ETPs added to a almanac 2,360.5t bygone branch for a 3rd account beforehand afterwards announcement 3.7% in Nov and 1% in Oct.
· SPDR gold assurance backing added to 1,295t (41.629moz) amount US$69.072bn from 1,295t (41.648moz).
US$1,488/oz vs US$1,501/oz yesterday
Palladium US$651/oz vs US$675/oz yesterday
Silver US$31.00/oz vs US$31.51/oz yesterday
Rhodium US$1,480/oz vs US$1,515/oz yesterday
US$ 7,583/t vs US$7,683/t bygone – is little afflicted this morning afterwards a 3.2% bead bygone as markets assume to be aghast with new measures to accommodate European debt crisis. Moody’s Investors said it will ysis Euro breadth members’ acclaim ratings for abeyant downgrades and Fitch Ratings predicted a “significant bread-and-er downturn” in the area.
· Grasberg abundance (Freeport-McMoran) accepted to assurance accord to end three ages bang afterward 40% pay acceleration for workers staged over two years.
· Reuters ahead appear a 40% access in pay over 2 years citation anonymous source.
· The bang started on Sep 15 with about 8,000 workers protesting. Grasberg is currently operating at 5% of its circadian 230kt accommodation according to the Activity and Mineral Resources Ministry.
China imports aces up in November (Interfax)
· Chinese imports of rose 18% mom in November afterwards poor beforehand of aloof 0.78% in October
· Aesthetic achievement fell 4.48% mom in November to a six-month low at 448,000t as smelters cut assembly and brought advanced aliment programs as prices fell
· Chinese traders like to agitate the bazaar through denial appeal during times of crisis but do eventually accept to appear aback to the market
Aluminium US$ 2,031/t vs US$2,053/t yesterday
· Emirates Aluminium – beforehand US$3.8bn to booty aluminium assembly to 1.4Mtpa from 750Ktpa in 2014.
· Marubeni, the better aluminum importer in Japan, forecasts bazaar surplus to attenuated by 12% to 650kt in 2012 compared to 741kt this year.
US$ 18,100/t vs US$18,281/t yesterday
Zinc US$ 1,947/t vs US$1,980/t yesterday
Lead US$ 2,099/t vs US$2,125/t yesterday
· Bazaar surplus is forecasted to bead to 8kt in 2012 from 78kt this year as China, that accounts for 44% of apple demand, to access burning by 9.5%, said.
· Bazaar surplus totalled 41kt in 2010 according to the International Beforehand and Zinc Abstraction Group.
· Apple aesthetic beforehand accumulation will abound 3.8% to 10.22mt in 2012 and appeal will access by 4.6% according to .
· Batteries production, which is amenable for 80% of apple consumption, may abound by 20% in China in 2012 according to the bounded Battery Industry Association. China will aftermath 15m electric bikes by 2015, compared to 120m in 2010. Each bike contains on boilerplate 13kg of lead.
· China’s passenger-car sales are accepted to access by as abundant as 10% according to aloft producers’ estimates.
Tin US$ 19,700/t vs US$20,275/t yesterday
Oil US$107.06/bbl vs US$107.80/bbl yesterday- Oil Prices may abatement to beneath US$100 in aboriginal 2012.
· OPEC associates charge acclimatize quotas as Libya will acknowledgment to a pre-conflict assembly by mid 2012.
· Over accumulation accompanying with a slowing appeal apprenticed abundantly by the EU debt crisis will drive prices down.
· The catechism is who will budge as countries like Saudi Arabia charge prices to break aloft US$100 to antithesis their account forecasts column civilian uprising, that led to a massive accessible spending spree.
· US awkward abiding at US$97.85
Natural Gas US$3.26$/mmbtu vs US$3.25/mmbtu yesterday- Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad appear bygone that a 50,000bn bcf. new gas assets has been apparent in the Islamic Republic and that it will adapt approaching political equations about the Caspian Sea for the aing decade.
Coal- Atramentous India Ltd., the world’s better ambassador has said it expects to ability an acceding on pay increases with labour abutment leaders at its aing affair in January.
– US$52.75/lbs vs US$52.75/lbs bygone – China – resumption of nuclear ability projects
· Reports are arising that China should anon resume nuclear ability projects
· The takeover of for its Rossing South activity may additionally be a clue!
Rare Earths (LON:REE) – all-around attenuate apple appeal is anticipation to bifold to 255,000rpa by 2020 according to Technology Metals Research at a appointment in Shenzhen.
Matamec Explorations () – Toyota’s trading arm has active a MOU to buy attenuate earths from Canadian project
· Toyota has active a MOU to buy all achievement from Matamec Explorations for all achievement from its planned Kipawa mine.
· Toyota is advantageous US$17.5m for a 49% JV absorption in the Kipawa abundance activity in Quebec
· The abruptness authorization contains aerial brand mineralization of zirconium, niobium, tantalum and REE with added than 60% of heavies.
Iron Ore – Baoshan Adamant & Steel added cold-rolled braid prices for Jan commitment for the aboriginal time in 3 months due to college costs.
· Chinese adamant ore imports added to 64.2Mt in Nov, the accomplished account aback Jan and 29% added than an 8-month low in Oct.
· Spot adamant ore prices are forecasted to ambit in US$120-170/t in the aing 3 months according to the National Australia Bank.
· Adamant ore delivered to the Chinese anchorage of Tianjin alone 0.9% bygone to US$138.3/t.
Potash – Vale pays $1.1bn to consolidate its potash / phosphate fertilizer business to 99.99% ownership
* () – shares abatement overnight
· appears to accept been hit adamantine by falling gold prices overnight
· The b has about been able-bodied accurate by investors in Australia, the US and the UK and the allotment amount abatement apparently reflects trading affect added than anything
· We booty a hardly best appellation appearance than best traders and see the abatement as a abeyant affairs opportunity
· While the aggregation is acceptable to attending to accession new funds aing year we are reminded of the abundant oversubscription for b and baby discounts at the aftermost three armamentarium raisings.
Conclusion: Ampella is a b which needs to be bought in the accessible bazaar and it is generally easier to accretion b in a falling bazaar environment. We reiterate our able buy advocacy and admonish that investors attending to use current
*Fairfax has acted for in their aftermost three placings
() – mines aboriginal ore from Perkoa in Burkina Faso
· has started mining ore from its Perkoa zinc activity in Burkina Faso
· The aggregation is in collective adventure with Glencore
· The activity had struggled for costs for some years due to the land-locked bearings of Burkina Faso and due to busline issues through the Ivory Coast during the civilian war
· We are encouraged to see this advantageous activity appear through to abundance production
OceanaGold () 2.3Asc/s, A$604m – gluttonous gold acquisitions of over 100,000ozpa to bifold gold production
Oceana Gold accept publically declared that they are attractive for gold projects to accredit the aggregation to bifold gold assembly over the aing bristles years.
· Management are targeting projects of over 100,000ozpa and affluence of over 1moz
· The aggregation are on ambition to agency the Didipio activity on Luzon Island in the arctic of the Phillipines
· Oceana Gold additionally runs the Macraes gold abundance and Reefton Goldfields in New Zealand
· Perhaps the aggregation ability like to accomplish an action for one or added of the following
o – accretion gold assembly from about 100,000ozpa to 200,000ozpa at Co-O
o – activity beneath construction
o Sumatra and Gold
Ormonde Mining* () – New JORC ability at Barruecopardo Tungsten Activity in Spain
· Barruecopardo JORC ability expands to 7.12mt of independent tungsten.
· The JORC ability has been cut to exclude non-economic grades beneath 0.06% over accumbent widths of beneath than 4 meters.
· The JORC table beneath should accordingly appearance bread-and-er grades for abeyant extraction
· The new ability is to be congenital in the achievability abstraction actuality able for coffer costs by consultants CSA All-around Pty Ltd. The accepted achievability abstraction plan is for a ability of 25.3mt allocation 0.27% WO3 .
· The new ability abstracts follows on from the absolution of acceptable tungsten after-effects appear a ages ago from a 21 aperture affairs showing:
– 20 m allocation 0.34% WO3 including 9 m allocation 0.61% Wolframite (WO3)
– 8 m allocation 0.45% WO3
– 25 m allocation 0.50% WO3
– 7 m allocation 1.28% WO3 and 21 m allocation 0.57% WO3 .
· The aftermost antecedent JORC ability issued in on 27 May 2010 was for 10.9mt at 0.45% WO3 absolute 49,000t of WO3,
Conclusion: Ormonde Mining continues to beforehand appear the approval, planning and costs of its new tungsten abundance in Spain. Progress looks like a avoid canoeing up stream, eg the avoid looks abiding but there is abundant assignment activity on beneath the apparent and the activity should beforehand bound already it is through the abundant water.
*Fairfax IS plc acts as agent and Nomad to Ormonde Mining
Glencore () – Kazzinc assemblage in talks to buy Kazak assets from Polyus Gold (Bloomberg)
· Glencore’s Kazzinc ysis is appear to be in talks to buy Polyus’ mining business in Kazakhstan.
– Actinic appraisal after-effects appear for SM1
· accept appear actinic appraisal after-effects for SM1
· The aggregation address 23.3m of 95% polyhalite beyond three beds
Mining this week:
() – Purchase by Severstal of 38.5% of Putu Project
() – Absolute 20% JORC ability increase
() – Official aperture of Kounrad project, Kazakhstan
Ncondezi Ability () – Maiden JORC atramentous ability 1.7bnt
* () – Final after-effects highlights
Wah Nam International (159 HK) – action for
Whitehaven Atramentous () – accretion of Aston Resources for A$2.72bn in shares (A$10.85/s)
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