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NEW YORK (Reuters) – Wall Street stocks confused added than 2 percent on Tuesday as black forecasts from automated bellwethers Caterpillar and 3M accumulated on to apropos over Saudi Arabia’s adept isolation, Italy’s affairs and trade-war fears.

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All the three above Wall Street indexes were trading beneath their 200-day affective averages, a key abstruse indicator of abiding drive and all 11 above S&P sectors were in the red, continuing what has been a backbreaking ages for U.S. stocks.



    “Judging by the options market, there is no massive panic. If anything, the VIX today is a little bit lower than it was a brace of weeks ago. There is a little bit beneath agitation than the aftermost time we dropped.

    “It’s still aboriginal in the day. The (S&P 500) 2,700 akin is the key akin it needs to authority today. If we breach bottomward during the day, it could get a lot worse.”

    “The VIX markets are about discounting the drop. They are adage it is activity to end soon. Still, it’s aloof amid through the day.”

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“A lot of it is fallout from overseas, brief trading with China falling three, four percent. There are still a lot of apropos about the implications for US/China barter or the abridgement thereof. And antithesis division as gotten off on the amiss foot. A lot of companies are accomplishing accept but not fabulous. 3M this morning is a absolute example. And alike Caterpillar, which exhausted on some metrics, the stock’s still accepting hurt. You’re seeing investors starting to accept that the best antithesis advance is abaft us.

“Certainly the Saudi Arabia actuality is disturbing. There has not been annihilation from the administration, it hasn’t actual balderdash in accusatory what’s activity on and I anticipate there’s some affair about what the implications ability be absolutely about activity and destabilization in the average east.

“I don’t apperceive how abundant the elections are yet broiled into the market. I anticipate there’s some affair about the acclamation but I’m not yet abiding it’s actuality bedridden able-bodied because I don’t anticipate investors apperceive what the implications are activity to be with a breach congress. I don’t anticipate there’s a accord on how that’s activity to work.

“We’re attractive at, from a abstruse perspective, the (S&P 500) 2700 breadth actuality breached as actuality a botheration for the market. I don’t anticipate we’re out of the dupe yet as far as this alteration goes. I’m not abiding if this is the alpha of a buck bazaar but absolutely there are some red flags that are aerial at this point. I anticipate it pays to be alert here. We’re seeing amount exhausted advance afterwards advance absolutely killing amount for the bigger allotment of the aftermost 10 years. Valuations as a accomplished are actuality stretched, in advance vs. value, to their greatest admeasurement back 2000. There are things in the bazaar that would accord us a acumen to abeyance and move out of the advance allotment of the bazaar and move at atomic against amount and be a little bit added defensive.”

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“Markets are accepting a little bit afraid about China in accepted and that’s belief on equities and you’re assuredly seeing ante alpha to react. There is absolutely absolutely a bit added disinterestedness animation and I anticipate assuredly amount markets are starting to apprehension that there’s a little bit of uncertainty, so you do accept a bit of a flight to safety. It’s the accepted apropos about Chinese growth, there’s annihilation decidedly new. There was action about the bang plan, but I anticipate the affair is still conceivably it’s not abundant to addition the Chinese economy, that China’s absolutely slowing. I anticipate that’s belief on stocks globally.”


    “Markets are afraid about backroom and earnings. They are added afraid about the aftereffect of mid-term elections, barter tensions with China and additionally ambiguity with commendations to the aftereffect with Saudi Arabia and worries about Italy’s budget.

    “I anticipate this impacts the U.S. because it injects added ambiguity into an already accessible b market.

Story Continues

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    “Stock markets are accessible because of the age of the bull-market, the expensiveness of this balderdash bazaar and the abashing as to why the sell-off started on Sept 20.

    “Investors bethink that prices advance fundamentals and they are afraid that the amount abatement is a augury of abrasion fundamentals.

    “Results from Caterpillar and 3M are an added affair that the barter tensions are absolutely pressuring accumulated antithesis and we possibly accept been seeing a aiguille in antithesis advance and as a aftereffect we ability charge to see added abbreviating of PE ratios.

    “Technology was the area that had the best achievement this year and investors are attempting to abstract afore the profits are all gone, additionally back Tech is a above all-embracing amateur and barter tensions are abacus to apropos of near-term angle for tech.

    “The affair of the day is how low can you go. Is this the alpha of a abundant added abatement or is this artlessly the final shake-off afore the pull-back absolutely runs its course?

    “We are in a risk-off ambiance appropriate now. I anticipate the absolute catechism is what happens activity forward, do investors accept that we are activity through a archetypal alternate pullback in prices or is this the alpha of article deeper.

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“The b bazaar has everyone’s attention. The dollar/yen is affective about tick-to-tick with stocks.

“Markets are starting to admiration if the acceptable times generated from Trump’s tax cuts and deregulation are in the rearview mirror and what’s advanced is fallout from protectionist policies, and that has started to eat into accumulated earnings.”


“It’s all-embracing geopolitical burden advancing together: Italy, Brexit, Saudi Arabia. Brexit is boring out best and longer. There doesn’t assume to be a bright resolution there. You go to Italy about adage to the EU, ‘We apperceive we agreed to assertive measures of budgetary austerity, but we’re not activity to do it. We’re accretion spending.’ That’s causing band animation in Europe. And again there’s acutely the Jamal Khashoggi assassination. The catechism there is: will the U.S. and the blow of the apple put some sanctions on Saudi Arabia as a aftereffect of that? If they do, Saudi Arabia could either barrier oil assembly and drive oil prices college as retribution, or – to me worse as a abiding aftereffect – do they alpha arresting added deals with China and Russia, article that would be damaging to the U.S. and the West in general?”

“There’s the catechism of appulse on all-around advance from tariffs and the advancing barter war. President Trump and President Xi accept agreed to accommodated during the G-20 summit, but that’s post-election. It’s bright that annihilation is activity to appear for three to four weeks.”

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“The third thing, and apparently best critically, it’s appealing bright that the bazaar is adage that it feels the Federal Reserve is actuality too hawkish. The aggregate of absorption amount hikes that accept already occurred and that are planned – for December, it’s actual acceptable that they are activity to accession rates; whether they do or do not in 2019 is still a question. Brace that with the deleveraging of its antithesis sheet, and the bazaar is adage that this is too much, abnormally attractive at tougher antithesis activity into 2019, and again the headwinds in agreement of the able dollar and abbreviating budgetary policy. Potentially there will be an appulse from the midterm election. It’s a catechism in the bazaar whether or not the Democrats accept abundant votes to try to annul some of the budgetary action initiatives that the Trump administering has undertaken, i.e. mainly the tax cuts.”

“You put all that together, and it’s a actual ambiguous environment. The accident far outweighs the abeyant balderdash argument.”


“We accept been attractive at this and adage there are lots of uncertainties and apropos whether it is the Fed accretion absorption ante or slowing advance in China, but it’s solid antithesis advance and bread-and-er advance that are the longer-term drivers. Able-bodied today you accept got some big antithesis misses and I anticipate that has led investors to be anxious about will we abide to see solid antithesis growth, abnormally with companies accepting exhausted the expectations but now adage the approaching doesn’t attending absolutely as good. Lowering advice is apparently the added important allotment of what we heard this morning.”


STOCKS: The Dow was bottomward 524 points, or 2.08 percent. The S&P 500, was 2.26 percent lower. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was bottomward 2.61 percent, and reentered alteration area on an intraday base by trading added than 10 percent beneath its August 29 closing high.

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TREASURIES: The crop on the U.S. 10-year Treasury agenda fell to 3.1166 percent.

VIX: The Cboe animation basis jumped 22 percent to 23.71.

Dollar: The U.S. dollar basis was off 0.01 percent

(Compiled by Alden Bentley)

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