Clemson activity over the absolute and laying a ton of credibility on the road? Check.
Oklahoma scoring at will at home? Yep!
Those were aloof a few angles we dug into aftermost week. Again, trends acquaint us added about what’s already happened than what will arise next. Still, they could band up with an bend you already have.
With that in mind, actuality are some angles to accede with Anniversary 10 on deck:
Situation: Bowling Green -1; O/U 66.5
Congratulations to Bowling Green, which is 0.4 credibility abroad from giving up 50 per d this season. A Kent State breach averaging aloof 23 in 2018 doesn’t arise acceptable to put the Falcons over the 50 mark, but afresh again, this is Bowling Green we’re talking about.
Why it will hit again: Kent State should get affluence of opportunities. Tuesday’s MACtion appearance two defenses ranked in the basal three in yards per achievement allowed, so if this is a clue meet, the Golden Flashes get their affairs to score.
Situations: Wisconsin -29 vs. Rutgers; Oregon -8.5 vs. Arizona; Texas A&M 5 at Auburn; Florida -6 vs. Missouri
This trend has been assisting all season. Ranked teams in these situations ability alike become bigger achromatize actual as the division progresses, because they’re falling out of a College Football Playoff anchorage and the appointment championship account with action potentially wavering.
Week 10 offers four added teams accomplished for abeyant letdowns, three of which are giving points.
Situation: Virginia -7; O/U 49
Pitt’s been a hot beneath aggregation abroad from home, mainly due to abhorrent struggles. The Panthers accept alone denticulate added than 24 credibility already over that nine-game span, and now face a boxy amateur in Virginia.
Why it will hit again: Virginia’s been absurd defensively this season, baronial No. 33 in the country by S&P arresting metrics. Pitt’s additionally relied on its aegis throughout the campaign, admitting a 54-45 win over Duke in Anniversary 9 was heavily skewed due to backing conditions.
Situation: South Carolina PK at Ole Miss; O/U 66.5
The Gamecocks accept played out of their apperception defensively abroad from home over the aftermost two-plus seasons beneath Will Muschamp, captivation opponents to aloof 21.6 credibility over the 11-game sample. Take out the 56 accustomed to Clemson aftermost division and the cardinal sits at 18.2.
Why it will hit again: Ole Miss has absent advanced receiver D.K. Metcalf for the season, giving the Gamecocks one beneath wideout to anguish about. It ability be a bend-but-don’t-break access for South Carolina adjoin an breach averaging 7.1 yards per play, but there are still 30-plus credibility to assignment with.
Situation: Iowa State -14 at Kansas; O/U 48
Chalk this one up as addition highlight in the resume of arch drillmaster Matt Campbell, who has pulled Iowa State out of the Big 12’s basement.
Why it will hit again: The Cyclones avowal one of the best underrated defenses in the country, baronial No. 31 in S&P appropriate abaft Florida State, Florida, and Texas A&M. Kansas’ offense, on the added hand, is No. 114 in the nation in S&P offense.
Situation: Missouri 6 at Florida; O/U 58
Missouri is averaging added than bristles touchdowns over the nine-game sample, but afresh saw the trend breach afterwards mustering aloof 10 credibility at Alabama.
Why it will hit again: Missouri’s breach is authored by one of the country’s best quarterbacks in Drew Lock, who could potentially get his No. 1 advanced receiver, Emanuel Hall, aback on the acreage Saturday. Something in the ambit of 26-27 credibility isn’t all that abundant for a Mizzou breach averaging 35.5 per d this season.
Situation: Utah State -18 at Hawaii; O/U OFF
Utah State’s breach ability be the best-kept abstruse in the country. The Aggies are No. 3 in scoring this season, announcement 31 credibility or added in seven of their eight games.
Why it will hit again: Hawaii has consistently played bigger on the island, but the aegis is boxy to trust. It’s a assemblage that ranks No. 114 in the country in yards per comedy (6.5) and No. 106 in credibility accustomed (34.6). The Rainbow Warriors may be in agitation adjoin a Utah State aggregation closing in on 50 credibility per d in 2018.
Alex Kolodziej is theScore’s action writer. He’s a alum of Eastern Illinois who has been complex in the sports action industry for 11 years. He can adduce every band from “Rounders” and appreciates franchises that consistently abrasion alternating jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.
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