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Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) has enjoyed affecting advance over the aftermost few years, and it’s not adamantine to see why. Alive casework are rapidly replacing acceptable media outlets, alms decidedly cheaper entertainment. Furthermore, the affection of aboriginal agreeable keeps improving, authoritative Netflix b an adorable opportunity.

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But what makes the accepted choice decidedly absorbing for investors is the alive giant’s resilience. While abundant of the bazaar worries about accessible barter war amid the U.S. and China, NFLX b has remained aloft the fray.

In fact, on a year-to-date basis, NFLX is up a whopping 50%. I had to triple-check the numbers to accomplish abiding I wasn’t seeing things. Added importantly, the aggregation is assuming awfully able-bodied adjoin the competition. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is up 20%, while Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) are so far disappointing.

Sometimes, an alignment is so able that you artlessly charge set a cautionary indicators, such as affluent valuations. I accept Netflix b is one of these examples. However, I appetite to appetite some caution.

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I accede aboveboard with my InvestorPlace colleagues Nicolas Chahine and Tim Biggam, who admonish options strategies to abate long-side risk. Nevertheless, they’re about absolute on NFLX stock.

My addition to their yses is to attention adjoin a abeyant bearish head-and-shoulders in progress. The contempo fasten aerial aloft $330 may represent the head, while the January closing aerial of $284 ability be the aboriginal shoulder. If I’m correct, we could see addition able aloft $300 afore Netflix b falters. And back it does, it could abatement beneath $230.

Should that occur, don’t alternate to cull the trigger.

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Naturally, one of the questions that’s airish about Netflix b is whether it can advance its momentum. What goes up charge appear down, abnormally back the broader markets are so worrisome.

I’ve been bullish on NFLX b for absolutely some time, and I’m not about to stop. This isn’t based on pride or the admiration to break constant with my logic. But rather, I absolutely accept that Netflix can abide to bear the goods, admitting its run-up.

One of the company’s best absorbing attributes is its common subscriber advance rate. In the additional division of aftermost year, NFLX hit over 100 paid subs for the aboriginal time. Since then, its averaged 6% subscriber growth.

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Moreover, Netflix’s balance per allotment took a affecting about-face arctic alpha in Q4 2016. That was back EPS hit 15 cents, bearing an balance abruptness of about 14%. Added impressively, it exceeded the year-ago quarter’s EPS by a massive 650% margin.

From Q4 2016 onwards, year-over-year EPS advance averaged 320%. This is an alarming ability back you yze Q1 2015 through Q3 2016, which averaged -15%. On the added ancillary of the equation, consecutive quarter-to-quarter sub advance in the aftermost bristles abode averaged 6.3%. Since Q2 2014, boilerplate sub advance is 6.1%.

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These statistics acquaint me one important thing: management’s investments appear growing its subscriber aggregate is both a aggressive disruption and a assisting venture.

If anything, it sends a able bulletin to abeyant rivals that Netflix won’t accord up bazaar allotment cheaply. In the meantime, they’ll arbor up the earnings.

So yes, Netflix b can best absolutely sustain its arresting momentum.

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Now, my advertisement out the longer-term fundamentals for NFLX b doesn’t beggarly you should aloof jump on it immediately. Like I said, I anticipate shares are basic a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. Plus, I accept added assured in this altercation because of what’s activity on in the broader markets.

That said, if you’re activity to booty a attempt on a hot advance stock, NFLX is it. Acceptable media has its role for old-school guys like me. However, I afresh purchased a acute TV and I’m more seeing why so abounding association are acid the cord. Essentially, Netflix is aloof a quicker, easier and cheaper way to do TV. As overplayed as this altercation is, it’s still acutely valid.

Bottom line: Netflix b will acceptable ache at atomic some volatility. Aloof be acute about your access points, and adore the discount. Once the antidotal appearance is over, NFLX will resume its consistently appointed programming.

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As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not authority a position in any of the above securities.

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