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Hawaii 11.5 at BYU
I’m able-bodied acquainted of Hawaii’s celebrated ATS struggles on the mainland. But this isn’t your garden array Hawaii squad, and BYU shouldn’t be laying double-digits to added than 10 or so FBS teams at this point.
Last week, afterwards brilliant QB Cole McDonald, Hawaii still exhausted Wyoming by four at home, accoutrement all numbers that were accessible all anniversary (Hawaii opened -3.5 and the band swung all the way to Wyoming -3 afore alpha as account bankrupt that McDonald would absence the d with a abstruse abdomen illness).
That d is an acutely advantageous datapoint for this one, because BYU and Wyoming are the bifold Spiderman GIF. BYU ranks No. 86 S&P , with the No. 106 offense, No. 50 aegis and No. 74 appropriate teams unit. Wyoming ranks No. 88 S&P , with the No. 108 offense, No. 52 aegis and No. 28 appropriate teams unit. Spooky.
McDonald said Tuesday that he intends to alpha this game, and the Honolulu cardboard reaffirmed that. The Hawaii columnist is awfully coarse with casual forth advice — we didn’t get acceptance aftermost anniversary until account afore alpha that McDonald wasn’t activity to comedy — and McDonald himself could apparently be exaggerating his cachet for gamesmanship reasons, but HC Nick Rolovich did accompaniment on Sunday that McDonald’s abrasion was a concise thing. McDonald has accomplished all week, and every account aperture I’ve apprehend is now advertisement that McDonald is “probable” to start.
With McDonald active, I adulation Hawaii communicable double-digits and I anticipate they’re a actual alive dog. S&P has this band set at BYU -3.6, and I anticipate that’s about right. Hawaii is the bigger aggregation of the two (S&P actually ranks BYU six slots avant-garde of them, but we can absolve S&P that; it isn’t sentient, it does not accept eyeballs, and accordingly it has never been affected to watch BYU’s offense).
The 6-1 Rainbow Warriors accept answered our questions over and over afresh this year, behindhand of situation. And that includes the loss, area they somehow managed to beforehand ATS in one of the affliction situational spots we’ll see all year at Army.
I punched my bet in at 12.5 on Tuesday aboriginal black anon afterwards McDonald appear he was arena (but, as always, I use adapted curve aback I cavalcade the column). I’ll echo what I said aftermost week: BYU is a cardboard tiger. They ambushed Arizona in the opener aback the Wildcats couldn’t amount out what they were accomplishing offensively in Bold 1 beneath Kevin Sumlin, and afresh the Cougars abashed Wisconsin two weeks later.
Over the accomplished two weeks adjoin Washington and Utah State, BYU acquaint 0% win expectancies in both with accumulated adapted scoring margins of -67.1 (i.e. S&P says they should accept absent those amateur by 33.5 ppg). BYU aloof appear that second-leading tackler LB Zayne Anderson has undergone season-ending surgery. The Cougars additionally appear Thursday that they’ve pulled the bung on QB Tanner Manum in favor of accurate apprentice QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has alone attempted alone six passes all year.
And we’re accepting double-digits to achromatize this optical allusion BYU accouterments with a livewire 6-1 underdog with a ailing offense. Sign me up!
Hawaii-BYU OVER 56.5
I’m not done with this game.
The over/under opened at a bald 54.5 due to the ambiguity of McDonald’s status. And I assumption I could accept that cerebration a bit: Hawaii’s beforehand had aloof arena to a arrest in the 17-13 win over BYU doppelgänger Wyoming. If accurate apprentice QB Chevan Cordeiro was starting again, conceivably we would get addition low-scoring d with bourgeois abhorrent philosophies on both sides, a echo of what we aloof saw.
But that’s not activity to happen. Upon McDonald’s announcement, I accepted the beforehand to collapse (i.e. for Hawaii to become single-digit ‘dogs) and for the over/under to jump a TD or so northward. Neither happened! The over/under has alone risen two credibility aback beforehand this week.
And that’s not all: BYU is axis the keys over to the accurate apprentice Wilson at quarterback. Wilson is a three-star abridged passer who showed off some auto off the bank with a 26-yard clutter aftermost Friday adjoin Utah State’s backups. Wilson could atom the offense, he could do annihilation of the sort, and/or he could accomplish the blazon of crushing turnovers accurate freshmen QBs are accepted for. Either way, his attendance over the conservative, bound pocket-passing Mangum is a benefaction for over bettors.
Lastly, as mentioned, BYU’s second-leading tackler has been shut down. BYU’s aegis is concrete but acutely slow. It is congenital to avert phonebooth teams like Cal and Wisconsin, not offenses that beforehand them out and force them to avert in space, as we saw aftermost anniversary adjoin Utah State. It’s adamantine to anticipate a book area both of these teams don’t account 21 credibility or added on Saturday. Any account accomplished 28-28 cashes the over ticket. I like our chances. With McDonald beneath center, Hawaii denticulate 42 or added credibility in bristles of six amateur (the barring actuality the 21 they denticulate in that abominable atom adjoin Army mentioned above; obviously, Hawaii’s backing were advisedly bound in that one adjoin Army’s triple-option offense).
Cal -7 vs. UCLA
UCLA is advancing off an absorbing assuming adjoin Washington in which the Bruins about akin the Huskies in absolute yards but were done in by a beforehand of third-down conversions allowed. Your affliction for this one is appealing straightforward: Do you anticipate that UCLA “turned the corner” in that one? Do you accept that the UCLA we see activity avant-garde will best carefully resemble the aggregation we saw adjoin Washington, or the UCLA aggregation we saw every added anniversary afore that?
From my pick, you apperceive area I angle on that.
Cal has absent two beeline and has bootless to awning a beforehand aback Anniversary 2 adjoin BYU, which is why we alone accept to lay single-digits here. The Bears accept gone -6 in turnovers over the accomplished two weeks, accident anniversary time while attractive way bigger than the scoreboard indicated. The Bears absent by 18 to Oregon, but S&P set the adapted scoring allowance in that one at Oregon -6.3. Aftermost anniversary adjoin Arizona, Cal absent by a touchdown but abundantly had a 93% postgame win assumption with an adapted scoring allowance of Cal by 15.1.
Brandon McIlwain has been the account of abounding of those turnovers. But I actually like what he has accustomed the Cal offense. Cal’s breach had annihilation activity for it before. Now it has a playmaker beneath center, admitting a raw, amateur one decumbent to mistakes. Will the blockhead mistakes go abroad as McElwain assets added experience? I’m hopeful, but we’re about acquisition out one way or the other.
Cal’s breach ranks a abhorrent No. 117 S&P , but that’s understating it because it’s weighting the pre-McElwain amateur the aforementioned as the post-McElwain amateur (Cal has confused the brawl added calmly aback he took over). Alfresco of the offense, Cal is a championship-caliber team. Cal boasts the No. 6 S&P aegis and the No. 7 S&P appropriate teams. UCLA’s No. 89 breach doesn’t accept a adoration in this game, while Cal will apparently be able to move the brawl adjoin UCLA’s No. 78 aegis (the Bruins do accept a solid appropriate teams, No. 20).
UCLA may be in for a hangover atom afterwards that abundant achievement adjoin Washington fell short. The Bruins are a bad aggregation that may alone win a d or two this year. With 3-2 Cal on the beforehand and badly defective a win actuality to beforehand its basin aspirations, I can’t see UCLA accepting it done in this spot. If I’m amiss about the in-season UCLA resurgence, so be it. But Cal won’t be overlooking them like Washington did. Especially afterwards Justin Wilcox aloof got done spending a anniversary conduct his players with band that depicted UCLA giving Pac-12 ability aggregate it could handle.
Colorado Accompaniment (pick ’em) vs. New Mexico
For me, this antagonism comes bottomward to dupe my preseason read. CSU backers are accepting a baby abatement actuality because New Mexico rides in with a acceptable almanac (3-2) beginning off a 50-14 beating of UNLV. But the Lobos’ resume doesn’t affect me.
Outside of the Wisconsin game, New Mexico has played three FBS teams ranked S&P No. 107 or lower and FCS Incarnate Word. The Lobos exhausted NMSU (No. 118), absent to Liberty (No. 114), and, as mentioned, drop-kicked UNLV. UNLV was arena afterwards starting QB Armani Rogers in that game. Afterwards Rogers, the Rebels are a bottom-10 FBS aggregation that reminds me a lot of the New Mexico Accompaniment aggregation a few years ago that had Larry Rose and actually annihilation abroad (in UNLV’s case, Lexington Thomas and annihilation else).
And sure: Colorado Accompaniment hasn’t afflicted this year. But is their anatomy of assignment actually abundant worse than New Mexico’s? CSU absent to Hawaii (No. 92), a brace of top-45 Power 5 teams (Colorado and Florida), and then, inexplicably, Illinois State. But I appetite to accomplish this point: The aboriginal three losses attending a ton bigger now than they did at the time. So does the win over Arkansas (No. 67). Aftermost week, CSU won at San Jose Accompaniment (123).
Colorado Accompaniment is a aggregation with abounding weaknesses but one arresting strength, the casual attack. New Mexico has played alone one G5 aggregation with a able casual attack, Liberty, and it got upset. NM’s avant-garde canyon D stats are solid — adamantine to say how accepted they are because the teams they’ve anesthetized — except for the No. 130 baronial in arresting casual explosiveness.
I anticipate brilliant CSU WRs Preston Williams and Olabisi Johnson are both headed for big games.
Utah Accompaniment -26 vs. UNLV
Speaking of UNLV! I ability lay 24 credibility or added already or alert a season, but I anticipate this atom may absolve it (I affective Utah Accompaniment -24 beforehand this week; I’d apostle this comedy up to 28).
S&P has this d at Utah Accompaniment -24, but it is still giving UNLV acclaim for its assignment beforehand this season, aback QB Armani Rogers was beneath center. Rogers, a aces agent who can’t throw, is out with an injury. His replacement, Max Gilliam, can’t run or throw. In Gilliam’s aboriginal alpha aftermost anniversary adjoin average New Mexico, UNLV got smoked 50-14 at home with a -45.0 S&P adapted scoring margin.
The curve don’t actually reflect it yet, but Utah Accompaniment is one of the nation’s best G5 teams. S&P ranks USU No. 25 in the nation, with the No. 24 offense, the No. 45 defense, and the No. 21 appropriate teams unit. The aegis is bigger adjoin the run than pass, which is nice in this matchup. Booty UNLV’s run d abroad and it will about-face into a three-and-out fest.
The Rebels’ aegis ranks No. 109, and its appropriate teams ranks No. 121. UNLV apparently has the country’s affliction casual breach (less than 100 yards per d on 41.5% completions and about 4.0 ypa). This team’s old aisle to success was accepting a advantageous Rogers aggregation up with Lexington Thomas to anticipate defenses from keying on either. Again: Afterwards Rogers, you aloof accept the old Larry Rose NMSU teams that consistently faced ample boxes and were clumsy to complete passes to accumulate defenses honest.
If things alpha to get abroad from them, UNLV isn’t actually a alarming backdoor awning team. For UNLV to cover, they’re activity to charge Utah State’s breach to comedy decidedly worse than it has to this point. Adjoin a aegis as bad as UNLV’s, with a appropriate teams advantage that is activity to consistently put USU in acceptable acreage position, it’s actually adamantine to anticipate that happening.
Colorado 7 at USC
I’ve cashed three tickets on Colorado during their 3-0 alpha (Nebraska, UCLA and Arizona State). Colorado is 4-1 ATS, while USC is the changed at 1-4 ATS.
I acclaimed on the podcast aftermost anniversary that linesmakers still hadn’t abundantly adapted to Colorado’s affection level. They still haven’t, alike afterwards CU’s win over Arizona Accompaniment aftermost weekend. As I told my podcast co-host Mark during a Monday black buzz call: “I get to aback Colorado again, I get to achromatize Clay Helton afresh — and, M, they’re giving me a touchdown for my troubles!”
S&P set this band at USC -4.4, which is afterpiece to reality. For me, this band should be afterpiece to USC -3.5. USC is off a bye, but Colorado has a big apprenticeship bend that apparently nullifies the account of added rest.
The Trojans accept baffled actually one aggregation by added than four credibility this year, UNLV (a d area USC’s adapted scoring allowance was a bald 12.4). USC’s breach is shockingly characterless (No. 60 S&P ). The beforehand has no arresting strength, altogether characterless both active the brawl and casual it. USC additionally turns the brawl over too abundant and struggles in the red zone.
Because the aggregation is ailing accomplished and codicillary on adolescence all over (including a accurate apprentice QB), those areas of activity aren’t acceptable to magically advance this year through absolute corruption adjoin the mean.
USC charcoal a solid aggregation (No. 37 S&P ) because its aegis (No. 30 S&P ) and appropriate teams (also No. 30 S&P ) units are both good. For whatever its worth, the Trojans’ best aisle to a awning actuality ability be to abduct a touchdown on appropriate teams (Colorado is No. 90 S&P on appropriate teams).
The Buffaloes, however, are well-equipped to booty advantage of USC’s carelessness (CU ranks No. 37 in TO margin) and USC’s struggles with burden (CU is No. 15 in assault bottomward big-play rate).
USC’s canyon aegis has been affected to mistakes and big plays allowed. That’s a botheration adjoin Steven Montez and Laviska Shenault, one of academy football’s best adverse aeriform duos. I anticipate Colorado, which has 35 players from California on its roster, is a alive dog in the Coliseum on Saturday.
Michigan Accompaniment 13.5 at Penn State
Full disclosure: I’ve achromatic Penn Accompaniment in three beeline amateur and absent all three times (I additionally achromatic them in the opener adjoin Appy Accompaniment and won).
To accomplish this bet, we not alone charge to footfall in avant-garde of a acceptable Penn Accompaniment team, but additionally some actually able situational trends. PSU is off a bye. Per BetLabs, ranked teams advantaged at home off a bye are 91-62-4 ATS. If you set the ambit to “Top 25 teams that absent their antecedent d afore the bye”, the almanac all-overs to 22-10-2 ATS over the antecedent 34.
But we’ve got some able trends in our favor as well. The one that gives me best comfort: MSU HC Mark Dantonio is 13-3 ATS as an underdog of a touchdown or added in Big Ten play. Over their aftermost 21 amateur as an underdog, Sparty is 16-5 ATS and 11-10 SU.
Michigan State’s breach has actually struggled this year. But it is apparently activity to get RB LJ Scott aback for this one. Scott has been a gametime accommodation in three beeline amateur but sat anniversary time afterwards aggravating to accord it a go in warmups. As of Thursday aback this cavalcade posted, it abiding articulate like he’s activity to acknowledgment this weekend.
That would be huge, because MSU’s active d has gone into the catchbasin aback he’s been out. Sparty was not able-bodied adequate for Scott missing time afterwards RB2 Madre London anchored to Tennessee in the offseason as a alum transfer. Scott’s acknowledgment will comedy up not alone the run game, but they canyon d as well.
QB Brian Lewerke has aghast to this point. But to be fair to him, this offense, like, for instance, Iowa’s, is complete to authorize the run and afresh booty advantage of play-action opportunities. Afterwards a run game, MSU has consistently activate itself in adverse third-and-long scenarios.
Long adventure short: I anticipate we’re activity to get a bigger MSU abhorrent achievement on Saturday than we’ve gotten the accomplished few weeks. Defensively, Sparty is a aggregation with a arresting backbone and a arresting weakness. MSU boasts one of the nation’s best run defenses, but its canyon aegis has been abominable so far.
If Sparty can shut bottomward Penn State’s run game, it’s activity to consistently put the Nittany Lions casual beforehand into the array of third-and-long scenarios that MSU’s own casual breach has struggled in all year. PSU QB Trace McSorley misses Saquon Barkley, Mike Gesicki and DaeSean Hamilton. S&P ’s numbers, which clarify out garbage-time, accept McSorley commutual a bald 52.9% of his passes for a characterless 6.9 ypa. PSU’s casual beforehand is sub-mediocre beyond the avant-garde stats lath alfresco of access (No. 30 S&P ).
PSU’s breach needs uses the active game, which has graded out acutely well, to set up the casual game. If MSU can shut bottomward Miles Sanders, PSU’s absolute No. 9 S&P breach is activity to comedy down. With 13.5 credibility to comedy with, we’re activity to be sitting appealing if this ends up actuality a low-scoring affair.
Coastal Carolina -6.5 vs. UL-Monroe
I punched this one in at Coastal -4.5 beforehand this anniversary and then, as I waited to broadcast this column, I watched the band airship by two points. The move wasn’t a surprise. S&P has Coastal advantaged by 11.4 credibility with a 75% win expectancy.
The 3-2 Chanticleers are a abundant story. They acknowledgment to their home amphitheater for the aboriginal time in a ages as Coastal played three beeline alley amateur and backward in hotels afterwards campus was damaged by Hurricane Florence. HC Joe Moglia, a aloft agent with a agrarian backstory (former CEO of TD AmeriTrade), is aback afterwards missing aftermost year aback cast was apparent to be growing in his lungs.
It’s been a boxy road, but this team, which was not accepted to be this good, excelled through the teeth of the adversity. Coastal had won three beeline amateur — including an acutely absorbing win over S&P No. 59 UAB — above-mentioned to accident to Troy on the aftermost Saturday of September. Aftermost week, Coastal got a much-needed bye.
With four beeline losses, UL-Monroe’s division is activity the added direction. To be fair, two of those amateur were adjoin SEC teams and addition was adjoin Troy, the aggregation that aloof exhausted Coastal. But the fourth aggregation was S&P No. 120 Georgia State, which annihilated ULM 46-14.
ULM’s defense, consistently a problem, has actually collapsed apart. In those four games, the WarHawks surrendered a accumulated 199 points. ULM’s aegis ranks a abhorrent No. 121 S&P , and it would apparently be alike worse if the WarHawks hadn’t accept risen up in a 21-20 agitated over Southern Absence in Anniversary 2. ULM is No. 128 in the country with 7.41 yards per comedy allowed.
ULM HC Matt Viator articulate baffled bottomward afterwards his band gave up 826 yards on an alarming 11.5 yards per comedy to Ole Absence aftermost week: “We’re aloof not arena good, and that’s what’s frustrating. We’re aloof not arena good, and that’s what’s frustrating. We’ve got to go aback to the cartoon lath and abide to work.” Doesn’t complete good, right?
We knew the aegis and appropriate teams (No. 121 S&P ) were activity to stink. It’s the breach (No. 101 S&P ) that has been a huge disappointment. I anticipation QB Caleb Evans’ achievement aftermost year was statistically fluky, and I achromatic him in academy fantasy football over the summer. That said, I didn’t apprehend the assemblage to backslide to this degree. UL-Monroe alternate about anybody from an breach that ranked 17th in abhorrent S&P . This year, ULM averages a poor 5.6 yards per comedy and a bald 18.1 credibility per game.
I anticipate ULM is activity to get lit up by Coastal’s offense, one of the best underrated in the G5 (No. 28 S&P ). I accept Coastal will get starting QB Kilton Anderson, a Fresno Accompaniment transfer, aback for this one. Anderson absent the Troy d afterwards adversity a high-ankle sprain. He alternate to convenance this week. I would apostle blockage in on his status, however, afore I bet. Officially, he’s advised a game-time decision.
Coastal does accept a able advancement quarterback, however, and the aggregation is actual able-bodied coached. The aegis (No. 126 S&P ) is a big problem, but Coastal’s breach and appropriate teams (No. 27) is activity to accomplish it one of the Sun Belt’s toughest outs this year. Unless ULM magically shows up with aftermost year’s team, it’s gonna get drilled.
Baylor 14.5 at Texas
Last Saturday night, afterwards Texas agitated Oklahoma, I tweeted the following: “The job isn’t over because you fabricated money on Herman as an underdog. You charge accomplishment the 2-step and achromatize him as a double-digit fav aing week.”
Do you accept the affection do it?
For as acceptable as Tom Herman has been as an underdog, he’s been about as bad as a favorite. He’s 4-13 ATS in his aftermost 17 as a favorite. Aback accession at Texas, Herman is 2-7 ATS with three absolute losses as a admired of six credibility or more.
On top of that, this is an bad hangover atom for the Longhorns, off the program-defining agitated win over archival Oklahoma. Afterwards a bye aing week, Texas aing campaign to Oklahoma Accompaniment and gets West Virginia the anniversary afterwards that. Baylor sits in the average of all those abundant hitters. This is a d Texas wants to get over with as anon as accessible to activate their anniversary off. For the Bears, this is the Super Bowl. Alfresco of TCU, Texas is Baylor’s better rival.
So we accept abstruse and situational factors alive heavily adjoin Texas. I anticipate the antagonism is additionally accessory for the two-TD underdog. Texas’ arresting backbone is up front, area they apathetic opposing teams’ active amateur and get them into third-and-long situations. Texas’ weakness is acceptance atomic plays.
The Longhorns rank No. 121 in casual explosiveness adjoin and, troublingly, alone No. 120 in sack amount (opponent’s accept additionally been able to rip off continued runs, UT ranks No. 84 adjoin arena explosion).
Offensively, Texas is able and accurate with the brawl but not at all explosive. They rank No. 109 in IsoPPP and No. 108 in bordering explosiveness. Baylor’s better arresting weakness is its debris hasty defense. Texas is activity to be able to actually atom Baylor on the ground. But the Longhorns will best acceptable not be able to rip off the blazon of atomic plays you’d like to see if you’re laying two touchdowns.
Here’s the thing: Baylor’s aegis ranks No. 122 in hasty access adjoin and No. 90 in casual access against. And because of that, we accept this angel in our active of the Bears’ aegis actuality an base embarrassment. And hey, maybe it is, and it did aloof accord up 250 hasty yards to the abiding Alex Barnes.
But if Texas isn’t able to accomplish bristles or six atomic plays, it’s allowance of accoutrement this cardinal are low. They actually could, but Texas isn’t congenital for that (you could accomplish the counterargument that Kansas Accompaniment isn’t either, to be fair; but to be appropriately fair, Baylor still won that game). And Baylor should actually be able to accomplish atomic casual plays of its own, because Texas is activity to attempt arresting the leash of Denzel Mims, Jalen Hurd and Chris Platt. Baylor’s aegis may be garbage, but this breach (No. 22 S&P ) is acutely dangerous.
Baylor is additionally way added able than they’re accustomed acclaim for, with a No. 19 S&P success amount and No. 9 S&P abhorrent bordering efficiency. This is an breach that stays on agenda — with a four-headed RB board (including Hurd) that are all averaging over 5.0 ypc and a casual beforehand that feasts over the average because of Hurd’s cheat-code animality out of the aperture — and can additionally exhausted you over the top with Mims and Platt.
I anticipate Texas wins this game, but the Longhorns’ profiles paints a appealing bright account of why they’re a money underdog aggregation and a poor favorite.
Virginia 6.5 vs. Miami
Similarly to above, this is a abhorrent abstruse and situational atom for a admired adverse a boxy matchup. And like the Baylor-Texas game, we’re additionally accepting some band amount with the ‘dog. In this case, S&P installed Miami as a 4.3-point favorite.
Professional bettors accept acutely been abaft Virginia in this contrarian spot. Beforehand this week, we saw about-face band movement (when the band moves adjoin the ancillary that is cartoon the best tickets) as able-bodied as beef activity on the Cavs.
Virginia comes in beginning as a daisy off a bye. Meanwhile, Miami has played six beeline amateur and had to angrily assemblage aback in the additional bisected aftermost anniversary adjoin Florida Accompaniment to abduct a one-point win afterwards the Canes trailed by 20. An ACC alley d adjoin an unranked adversary is not the atom you about see Miami get up for. Hell, they couldn’t alike get up for archrival FSU at home aftermost week.
The Hurricanes will charge article aing to their A-game to exhausted this Virginia aggregation by a touchdown or more. The Cavaliers bout up actually able-bodied defensively adjoin a meh Miami breach (No. 39 S&P ). Miami has had issues throwing the brawl all year, amid brilliant WR Ahmmon Richards actuality affected to retire and quarterback inconsistency, and that affair isn’t activity to dness itself afore Saturday.
HC Bronco Mendenhall prioritizes endlessly the run, and it’s not a abruptness that run aegis is a arresting backbone of this UVA team. That goes for penning in dual-threat quarterbacks, which Virginia has already done three times this year. The Cavs asleep QB Malik Cunningham a few weeks ago, sending him aback to the bench. Miami QB N’Kosi Perry, of course, is actual abundant a run-first quarterback at this time. In his two starts, both as double-digit favorites adjoin ACC opponents (FSU and UNC), Perry struggled with accurateness and decision-making.
So Virginia should accomplish to at atomic some amount in authoritative Miami comedy left-handed. If that happens, aggregate clicks into place. Perry charge bandy into a solid UVA secondary, Miami’s beforehand becomes inefficient, and Virginia offensively tries to nick a able Miami aegis (No. 14 S&P ) to afterlife with QB Bryce Perkins scrambles, RB Jordan Ellis runs, and quick-hitters to abhorrent weapon Olamide Zaccheus.
Virginia basically alone has those three playmakers on offense, and its abhorrent band isn’t great. This isn’t the best antagonism for the Cavs offense. But on the added hand, Virginia is activity to be able to abate the capability of Miami’s avant-garde seven disruption artlessly by not accepting Perkins bead aback and ysis his options from the pocket. Not his game, not the plan. Aback Perkins is throwing, the brawl will be out actual quickly, acceptable to Zaccheus. You wouldn’t anticipate Virginia’s three-man breach would be any good, but they somehow administer to be atomic while mostly actual efficient, arch to a No. 47 S&P abhorrent ranking.
Lastly, both teams are abhorrent on appropriate teams (Virginia is No. 126 S&P , Miami is No. 111), adverse a angle of the d anniversary has struggled with. I anticipate we see a low-scoring, concrete chess-match. I’d accede a comedy on the beneath as well.
Two for the Road:
Duke 3 at Georgia Tech
Texas A&M -2 at South Carolina
2018- 34-36 (48.6%) ATS
2014-2017- 397-345-16 (53.5%) ATS
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