Rishard Matthews was the No. 13 receiver in fantasy aftermost year. He’s currently the 49th wideout off the lath this summer. He turns 28 in October.
Cameron Brate was the No. 6 bound end aftermost year. He’s actuality drafted as TE19 these days. He’s 26.
Tyrell Williams was a difference-maker aftermost year, spiking up to WR14. Drafters are not sold; he’s the WR42 for the beginning year. Williams is 25.
Adam Thielen got up to WR30 aftermost year, but the army says WR46 in abstract season. He’s 27.
So it looks like this year’s What’s In My Wallet already afresh starts with a achromatize of the Regression Police.
Obviously we charge to skate to area the bogie is headed, not area it’s been. There’s a ytic case for these players to abatement abaft aftermost year’s production. But I doubtable the Regression Police are overrating the accident associated; applying an overcorrection. All of these players action the abeyant to buy in at a reasonable price, with accessible upside — aftermost year’s stats — in the astute ambit of outcomes.
Matthews is apparently accepting docked because the Titans added accomplished amateur Corey Davis (the fifth aces in the draft) and adept red-zone astrologer Eric Decker. Alas, Davis has been aching abundant of the summer and Decker’s additionally had a quiet affected (to go with an all-encompassing abrasion history in contempo seasons). At minimum, I apprehend Matthews to be Tennessee’s best reliable ambition aboriginal in the year. Let’s hope for a quick start, we’ll bulk out the blow later.
Brate’s ADP took an burning tumble aback the Bucs drafted Alabama TE O.J. Howard in the aboriginal round. Quick, name all the amateur bound ends you affliction drafting over the years? It’s a position that has a abrupt acquirements curve. Brate’s not abundant of a acquaintance and that’s absolutely a affection for our fantasy bound ends, not a bug. I accord him a acceptable adventitious to accumulate best of aftermost year’s haul. Jameis Winston admired his big ambition over the middle.
Like Matthews, Williams is buried by added big names in Los Angeles. Keenan Allen is back, abrasion accoutrements and all. Amateur Mike Williams was a exceptional abstract choice, anon afterwards Davis. But accustomed Allen’s abrasion resume and the actuality that Williams is already hurt, why are drafters blame Williams to the curb? You’re punching a mostly-upside admission aback you assurance up Tyrell Gazelle.
There are reasonable affidavit to be air-conditioned on Thielen. Maybe you adopt Stefon Diggs, or maybe you don’t appetite to articulation up with Sam Bradford. I accede this a case of the all-encompassing (Thielen) actuality added fantasy-interesting than the name cast (Diggs). Thielen snagged 75 percent of his targets aftermost year, he fabricated affluence of downfield plays (14.0 YPC), the Vikings adored him with a big contract, and now Thielen’s activity to assignment in the slot, area the advantage is easier to beat. The Fantasy Army would rather booty Randall Cobb (arrow credibility in amiss direction), Jeremy Maclin (Baltimore’s breach could be a alternation wreck), John Brown (ongoing bloom concerns), or Corey Coleman (no resume yet) — stances I can’t get behind.
Consider the hook, and acquaint me on Twitter (or in the comments) if you accede or disagree. Actuality are some quick hitters for added repeating Pianow purchases.
Russell Wilson — Aftermost year was the aboriginal time in bristles years he took a fantasy loss, not that a QB11 division should attenuate anyone. Knee and abate problems ashen Wilson for two months. He’s advantageous now, and accepting accumulation is better. Seattle’s characterless abhorrent band will apparently accessible up the offense. (Most of my Wilson angles were discussed in aftermost week’s Bryant/Baldwin Spin Doctors.)
DeAndre Washington, Jalen Richard — Late-round action tickets, as I’ve been crumbling Old Man Marshawn Lynch all summer.
Isaiah Crowell — He’s not a aught in the casual game, and the Browns should accept one of the bigger abhorrent curve in the game. New QB DeShone Kizer adeptness appropriate a few hasty touchdowns, but his athleticism should additionally advance Crowell’s hasty lanes. Normally you would abscond from a active aback from a presumed-losing team, but I doubtable the Browns will be adamant with their hasty d plan in best weeks.
Titans Defense — The aboriginal affair you ask on any defense: “is the aggregation any good?” Tennessee looks like the bright admired in the anemic AFC South, abnormally wth Indianapolis and Jacksonville accepting abhorrent camps. The Texans should be heard from, but their breach has red flags at every position.
James White — To be fair, I accept a abstinent bulk of every primary Patriots aback added than Dion Lewis. I ambition I had a able angular to any of these guys. But White’s an accessible bite in PPR leagues, accustomed his adeptness of the offense, able 2016 haul, and adeptness to run the ball, if needed.
Greg Olsen, Jason Witten — Anyone can get aching in the NFL, and sometimes it feels like every bound end block on the assistant bark eventually. But there’s article abating about the run of abounding seasons Olsen and Witten accumulate giving us.
Robby Anderson — I absolutely accept not absent to abstract into a abhorrent breach like the Jets, but aback you get Anderson as a bargain abyss guy — say your WR5 or WR6 — who am I to say no? Hopefully Josh McCown can break advantageous for bisected the year. I additionally denticulate a fair bulk of Quincy Enunwa, afore the injury. As abundant as I like aboriginal drafts — let’s accolade those who can affix dots advanced of time — you accept to accord with the abrasion pitfall, too.
Travis Kelce — My early-round picks are about a simple grab for best-player available, not afraid accurate positions (though I usually booty QB out of that equation, aback the position is so deep). Kelce became my Break Glass In Emergency aces in a host of third rounds. Aftermost year’s TD calculation is apparently the low end of his range, and I absolutely apprehend the yardage to be in the aforementioned neighborhood. Look at how the Chiefs apart Kelce over the final three months of the year.
Derrick Henry — It’s not a austere achromatize of DeMarco Murray because I’m invested there, too — active abaft the best abhorrent band in football is a admirable thing. The key to Henry is this — can he get abundant aggregate to become a applicable RB2 or angle advantage alike if Murray never gets hurt? I anticipate that’s in play, but this can be a catchy alarm — accede what we accepted from Bilal Powell and Charles Sims aboriginal aftermost year (Powell did rally, but alone in December). I additionally accept those who run from Henry because of his admeasurement and cocked active style. I see a league-winning upside here, so I punched some tickets.
Zach Ertz — Everyone knows him as the amateur who about goes off backward in the season. This year, Ertz will be the amateur activity off bottomward the seam, demography advantage of Jordan Matthews’s departure.
Rob Kelley — They don’t all accept to be superheroes. Kelley isn’t fat, either, but he is the bright amateur in a proven, bankable offense. Samaje Perine did annihilation to alarm us this summer. Kelley is a absolute RB3, and you could alike aperture him at RB2 if you loaded up at added spots.
Philip Rivers, Matthew Stafford, Andy Dalton — It’s their “boring veteran” years, a blazon of amateur I’ve gravitated appear for three decades. We’re not aggravating to bazaar our aggregation or accomplish the better amusing splash, we aloof appetite the numbers. Rivers and Dalton are alive with their best acknowledging casts ever, at atomic on paper, and Stafford isn’t captivated aback by a game-script ambuscade back. If Detroit is activity to move the brawl and score, he has to be the pointman.
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